Jane’s Knows What Bush Doesn’t


Posted by Matski on January 22nd, 2007

Namely, that de facto partition of Iraq is the most likely outcome.

Scenario two: De facto partition

Probability - High

Unsurprisingly, this scenario is considered to be the most likely and has been accorded a high probability. The sectarian and factional issues witnessed in 2006 are powerful and highly stable, suggesting more of the same in 2007. In the security realm, the government is highly unlikely to regain a monopoly of violence in 2006 no matter how successful its development of the Iraqi Army.

Hmm. Seems like every pundit (this commentator included) with half a brain and the ability to read a map is drawing this conclusion. What is it that dumbass doesn’t get?


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