Liberal Talk Radio

It seems I shouldn’t be so dismissive of my instincts. Yesterday I said:

My gut instinct (and I don’t know why anyone should believe my gut, per se) says that he’ll end up getting nominated 70-something to 20-something. Pretty low for a Supreme Court nom, but wide enough to secure a “bipartisan” meme in the media. If the Dems come up with more than 30 “no” votes I’ll be surprised.

And today the Washington Post reports:

Roberts’s confirmation is a foregone conclusion in the Senate, where Republicans hold 55 of the 100 seats. The only question is how many Democrats will support him, and what political signal it will send. Party liberals hope no more than 15 Democrats, mostly from states Bush carried, will vote yes. That would result in a 70 to 30 confirmation vote. But Sen. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) recently told reporters: “I think he can get from 75 to 80 votes.”

Kennedy also said he’ll vote “no” today.